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Refinance Break-Even Calculator

How long a refinance takes to pay back its closing costs — and whether the lower payment is actually costing you money.

Enter what you owe now and what the new loan would look like.

Your loan today

What you still owe, not what you originally borrowed.

The new loan

From the lender's Loan Estimate. It varies by thousands between lenders.

Nothing due at closing, but they accrue interest for the whole term.

Estimate. A real-world figure based on the assumptions listed below, which you can change.

How this calculator works

The number everyone quotes is closing costs divided by the monthly saving. Save $300 a month against $6,000 of costs and you break even in twenty months. It is easy, it is widely repeated, and on its own it is close to useless.

The problem is that a lower payment is not the same as a cheaper loan. Refinancing eight years into a thirty-year mortgage back into a fresh thirty-year term drops the payment — and puts you thirty-eight years into paying for the house. The payment fell because the debt was stretched, not because the borrowing got cheaper.

So this compares the current loan properly: the balance you have left, over the years you have left, at your current rate. That is what keeping the loan costs from today. Both paths are then amortized to the end, so the lifetime figure is a real comparison rather than a payment against a payment.

The result is that the fastest break-even is often the worst deal, and the calculator shows both numbers side by side so it is impossible to miss.

The formula

Exactly what happens to your numbers, step by step.

  1. The break-even everyone quotes

    months = closing costs ÷ monthly saving

    Only meaningful alongside the lifetime figure below.

  2. What keeping the loan costs

    current payment = remaining balance amortized over the remaining term

    Not the payment on the original loan — that comparison flatters every refinance.

  3. What it really saves

    lifetime = interest on the old loan − interest on the new loan − closing costs

A worked example

Eight years into a 30-year mortgage: $260,000 left at 7%, 22 years to run, $6,000 of closing costs.

What you enter

Current balance
$260,000
Current rate
7%
Years left
22
Closing costs
$6,000

Step by step

Keeping the loan costs
$1,933 a month
New 30-year at 6%
$1,559 — saves $374/mo, breaks even in 16 months
…but over its life
costs $56,893 more
New 22-year at 5.5%
$1,700 — saves $233/mo, breaks even in 26 months
…and over its life
saves $55,484
New 15-year at 5.5%
$2,124 — costs $192/mo more, never breaks even
…and over its life
saves $121,891

The fastest break-even is the worst deal by about $179,000

Ranked by break-even, the 30-year wins at sixteen months. Ranked by what it actually costs, it is last by a wide margin — and the option with no break-even at all saves the most. If you only look at the monthly payment, you will pick exactly the wrong one.

Assumptions

Every result here rests on these. Change your inputs and the result changes with them.

  • Both loans are fixed-rate, and both are held to the end of their term.
  • The current payment is derived from the balance and time remaining, not from the original loan.
  • Closing costs are paid at closing, or financed into the new balance if you choose that.
  • Interest accrues monthly at the annual rate divided by twelve.
  • No prepayment penalty on the existing loan, and no extra payments on either.

What this cannot tell you

  • It assumes you keep the new loan for its full term. Most people do not — if you sell or refinance again in five years, only the break-even matters and the lifetime figure never happens.
  • Tax is not modeled. Mortgage interest may be deductible depending on your situation, which changes the after-tax comparison.
  • Escrow, insurance and property tax are excluded. This is principal and interest only.
  • Cash-out refinances are not modeled. Taking equity out changes the balance and the whole comparison with it.
  • It cannot know your closing costs. Get a Loan Estimate — lenders are required to provide one, and the figure varies by thousands between them.

Questions people ask

How do I calculate the break-even on a refinance?

Divide the closing costs by the amount your monthly payment falls. $6,000 of costs against a $300 monthly saving is twenty months. But check the lifetime figure before acting on it — a long new term can produce a fast break-even and still cost tens of thousands more.

Is a lower monthly payment always better?

No, and this is the most expensive misunderstanding in refinancing. Stretching the remaining balance over a longer term lowers the payment by adding years of interest. In the example above, the option that saves the most each month costs $56,893 more overall.

How much does the rate need to drop to be worth it?

The old rule of thumb was one percent, and it was never reliable. What matters is your balance, how long you have left, and the closing costs — on a large balance a quarter point can be worth it, and on a small one two points may not be. Run your own numbers.

Should I roll the closing costs into the loan?

It means nothing is due at closing, which is genuinely useful if cash is tight. But financed costs accrue interest for the whole term, so you pay considerably more than the sticker price for them. Both options are here — compare the lifetime figures.

What if I plan to move in a few years?

Then the break-even month is the number that matters and the lifetime figure is irrelevant, because you will never reach it. If you will sell before breaking even, the refinance loses money no matter how good the rate looks.

Sources and review

There are no published rates behind this one. The answer rests on the figures you enter, and on the defaults shown wherever you have not replaced them — typical values rather than fixed constants, and every one of them editable. Any figure you actually hold beats a default, whether that is your own bill, a supplier’s quote, or the rate a lender gave you. The assumptions and limitations above set out exactly what the answer depends on.

Methodology version 1.0.0 · Last reviewed

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For coursework, a resource list or your own site. How every calculator is built and checked is set out on the methodology page.

Citation

Chalk Calculator. (2026, October 6). Refinance Break-Even Calculator (Methodology version 1.0.0). https://chalkcalculator.com/refinance-break-even-calculator/

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